Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Santo André beat CRB with a 20.9% chance and Brasiliense beat Marília with a 21.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 18 (before the first match) against those on August 25 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brasiliense | Promotion | 24.1% | 37.9% | +13.8 |
| Remo | Relegation | 73.0% | 85.1% | +12.1 |
| Santo André | Relegation | 44.7% | 33.5% | −11.2 |
| CRB | Promotion | 23.7% | 15.2% | −8.6 |
| Marília | Promotion | 79.6% | 71.1% | −8.5 |
| Ituano | Relegation | 79.5% | 88.0% | +8.4 |
| Portuguesa | Promotion | 19.2% | 27.7% | +8.4 |
| Grêmio Barueri | Promotion | 9.1% | 16.6% | +7.5 |
| Gama | Relegation | 17.7% | 24.0% | +6.3 |
| Marília | Champion | 31.8% | 25.5% | −6.3 |
