Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: CRB beat Grêmio Barueri with a 24.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 11 (before the first match) against those on August 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santo André | Relegation | 57.9% | 44.7% | −13.2 |
| Coritiba | Promotion | 57.7% | 68.5% | +10.8 |
| Coritiba | Champion | 11.7% | 20.4% | +8.7 |
| CRB | Promotion | 15.3% | 23.7% | +8.5 |
| Santa Cruz | Relegation | 28.8% | 36.8% | +8.0 |
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 18.3% | 10.3% | −7.9 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 21.1% | 29.0% | +7.9 |
| Grêmio Barueri | Promotion | 16.4% | 9.1% | −7.3 |
| Paulista | Relegation | 28.1% | 34.9% | +6.8 |
| Marília | Champion | 38.3% | 31.8% | −6.5 |
