Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Ceará beat Ituano with a 20.1% chance and CRB beat Santo André with a 18.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 10 (before the first match) against those on May 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitória | Relegation | 35.1% | 15.0% | −20.1 |
| Paulista | Promotion | 35.7% | 19.5% | −16.2 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 23.0% | 38.8% | +15.9 |
| CRB | Relegation | 29.6% | 13.9% | −15.6 |
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 24.8% | 40.4% | +15.6 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 9.3% | 22.7% | +13.5 |
| Santo André | Relegation | 13.0% | 26.3% | +13.4 |
| CRB | Promotion | 12.2% | 25.5% | +13.3 |
| Grêmio Barueri | Relegation | 39.6% | 26.6% | −13.0 |
| Santo André | Promotion | 24.3% | 11.6% | −12.7 |
