Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Coritiba beat Marília with a 20.5% chance and Ipatinga beat São Caetano with a 20.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 7 (before the first match) against those on August 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coritiba | Promotion | 40.9% | 57.7% | +16.8 |
| Remo | Relegation | 60.6% | 72.9% | +12.3 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 39.9% | 28.3% | −11.5 |
| Santo André | Relegation | 46.7% | 57.9% | +11.2 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 22.7% | 12.8% | −9.8 |
| Ituano | Relegation | 65.1% | 74.7% | +9.5 |
| Marília | Champion | 46.8% | 38.3% | −8.6 |
| São Caetano | Relegation | 10.9% | 18.9% | +8.0 |
| Ipatinga | Relegation | 20.2% | 12.2% | −7.9 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 13.3% | 21.1% | +7.8 |
