Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 4 (before the first match) against those on August 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 27.0% | 39.9% | +12.9 |
| Ituano | Relegation | 53.2% | 65.1% | +11.9 |
| Marília | Champion | 35.4% | 46.8% | +11.4 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 31.0% | 42.0% | +10.9 |
| Criciúma | Champion | 46.7% | 36.2% | −10.5 |
| Remo | Relegation | 70.1% | 60.6% | −9.5 |
| Paulista | Relegation | 43.3% | 34.1% | −9.1 |
| Portuguesa | Promotion | 17.3% | 26.0% | +8.7 |
| Coritiba | Promotion | 49.0% | 40.9% | −8.1 |
| Santa Cruz | Relegation | 43.1% | 35.7% | −7.4 |
