Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, no draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Paulista beat Vitória with a 18.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 28 (before the first match) against those on August 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paulista | Relegation | 58.8% | 43.3% | −15.6 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 30.0% | 16.9% | −13.1 |
| Ipatinga | Relegation | 26.6% | 14.7% | −11.9 |
| Ituano | Relegation | 63.8% | 53.2% | −10.6 |
| Santo André | Relegation | 34.9% | 45.0% | +10.2 |
| Santa Cruz | Relegation | 34.1% | 43.1% | +8.9 |
| Remo | Relegation | 61.2% | 70.1% | +8.9 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 19.4% | 27.0% | +7.6 |
| Portuguesa | Promotion | 24.7% | 17.3% | −7.4 |
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 15.9% | 8.6% | −7.3 |
