Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Portuguesa beat Gama with a 24.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 24 (before the first match) against those on July 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo | Relegation | 47.8% | 61.2% | +13.4 |
| Marília | Promotion | 68.4% | 80.9% | +12.5 |
| Ituano | Relegation | 76.0% | 63.8% | −12.2 |
| Brasiliense | Promotion | 41.7% | 30.2% | −11.5 |
| Marília | Champion | 20.1% | 31.3% | +11.3 |
| Coritiba | Promotion | 53.2% | 43.0% | −10.2 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 33.6% | 24.1% | −9.5 |
| Portuguesa | Promotion | 15.4% | 24.7% | +9.4 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 20.8% | 30.0% | +9.1 |
| Ipatinga | Relegation | 19.3% | 26.6% | +7.3 |
