Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Avaí beat Paulista with a 21.7% chance and São Raimundo-AM beat Ituano with a 18.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 23 (before the first match) against those on May 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| América-RN | Relegation | 43.4% | 27.8% | −15.6 |
| Remo | Relegation | 33.6% | 47.0% | +13.4 |
| Sport | Promotion | 45.5% | 58.5% | +13.0 |
| São Raimundo-AM | Relegation | 44.4% | 33.4% | −11.0 |
| Ituano | Promotion | 39.5% | 28.9% | −10.6 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 18.1% | 28.1% | +10.0 |
| CRB | Relegation | 21.3% | 31.2% | +9.9 |
| Brasiliense | Promotion | 15.9% | 25.7% | +9.8 |
| Sport | Champion | 15.3% | 24.4% | +9.1 |
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 20.6% | 29.6% | +9.0 |
