Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Santo André beat Vila Nova with a 22.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 20 (before the first match) against those on May 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 28.7% | 44.4% | +15.7 |
| Santo André | Relegation | 45.0% | 29.5% | −15.5 |
| Coritiba | Promotion | 38.5% | 51.0% | +12.4 |
| Ituano | Promotion | 50.2% | 39.5% | −10.7 |
| São Raimundo-AM | Relegation | 54.3% | 44.4% | −9.9 |
| Paulista | Promotion | 36.8% | 27.3% | −9.6 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 34.5% | 43.4% | +8.9 |
| Guarani | Promotion | 11.8% | 20.3% | +8.4 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 21.1% | 12.8% | −8.4 |
| Coritiba | Champion | 10.7% | 17.9% | +7.3 |
