Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 5 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Paysandu beat Portuguesa with a 24.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 27 (before the first match) against those on May 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 29.6% | 42.9% | +13.3 |
| Paysandu | Relegation | 24.6% | 11.7% | −12.9 |
| Paysandu | Promotion | 11.4% | 22.9% | +11.5 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 29.7% | 40.8% | +11.1 |
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 44.6% | 34.0% | −10.6 |
| CRB | Relegation | 31.2% | 39.8% | +8.6 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 28.1% | 34.8% | +6.7 |
| Santo André | Relegation | 22.4% | 28.6% | +6.1 |
| Gama | Relegation | 20.3% | 14.3% | −6.0 |
| Coritiba | Promotion | 43.1% | 37.6% | −5.5 |
