Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Ituano beat Atletico-MG with a 19.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 12 (before the first match) against those on May 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ituano | Promotion | 34.8% | 50.2% | +15.4 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 49.3% | 34.5% | −14.8 |
| Remo | Relegation | 45.2% | 31.5% | −13.8 |
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 41.8% | 28.7% | −13.0 |
| Sport | Promotion | 58.0% | 46.0% | −12.0 |
| Atletico-MG | Promotion | 58.1% | 46.4% | −11.7 |
| Coritiba | Promotion | 26.9% | 38.5% | +11.6 |
| CRB | Relegation | 17.0% | 27.1% | +10.2 |
| São Raimundo-AM | Relegation | 44.4% | 54.3% | +9.9 |
| Paysandu | Promotion | 30.6% | 20.9% | −9.7 |
