Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Vila Nova beat Náutico with a 17.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 5 (before the first match) against those on May 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 57.5% | 41.8% | −15.7 |
| CRB | Relegation | 32.5% | 17.0% | −15.5 |
| Paulista | Promotion | 28.4% | 41.5% | +13.1 |
| São Raimundo-AM | Relegation | 32.1% | 44.4% | +12.3 |
| Santo André | Relegation | 28.9% | 39.0% | +10.0 |
| Ceará | Promotion | 19.2% | 9.7% | −9.5 |
| Remo | Relegation | 36.0% | 45.2% | +9.3 |
| Atletico-MG | Promotion | 49.1% | 58.1% | +9.0 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 15.0% | 23.8% | +8.9 |
| Paysandu | Promotion | 21.8% | 30.6% | +8.8 |
