Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 5 draws and no away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 29 (before the first match) against those on May 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 36.8% | 20.5% | −16.3 |
| Coritiba | Promotion | 46.3% | 32.9% | −13.5 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 32.1% | 45.2% | +13.1 |
| Sport | Promotion | 47.9% | 60.5% | +12.6 |
| Brasiliense | Relegation | 25.7% | 13.3% | −12.4 |
| Remo | Relegation | 25.3% | 36.0% | +10.7 |
| Brasiliense | Promotion | 9.5% | 18.7% | +9.2 |
| Sport | Champion | 16.2% | 25.3% | +9.1 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 24.7% | 17.7% | −7.0 |
| Portuguesa | Promotion | 6.2% | 13.0% | +6.8 |
