Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Santo André beat América-RN with a 22.4% chance and CRB beat Avaí with a 23.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 11 (before the first match) against those on November 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paysandu | Relegation | 43.5% | 82.5% | +39.0 |
| CRB | Relegation | 88.5% | 54.7% | −33.9 |
| São Raimundo-AM | Relegation | 72.8% | 94.9% | +22.2 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 60.7% | 40.7% | −20.0 |
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 30.6% | 46.6% | +16.1 |
| Remo | Relegation | 13.3% | 0% | −13.3 |
| América-RN | Promotion | 97.0% | 86.6% | −10.3 |
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 90.4% | 80.7% | −9.7 |
| Paulista | Promotion | 4.7% | 13.4% | +8.6 |
| Atletico-MG | Champion | 93.1% | 100% | +7.0 |
