Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Ituano beat CRB with a 23.7% chance and Ceará beat Portuguesa with a 24.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 7 (before the first match) against those on November 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| América-RN | Promotion | 63.0% | 97.0% | +33.9 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 32.1% | 0.3% | −31.8 |
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 61.0% | 90.4% | +29.4 |
| Coritiba | Promotion | 33.2% | 5.1% | −28.1 |
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 57.9% | 30.6% | −27.3 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 33.8% | 60.7% | +26.9 |
| CRB | Relegation | 66.9% | 88.5% | +21.6 |
| Atletico-MG | Champion | 77.0% | 93.1% | +16.0 |
| São Raimundo-AM | Relegation | 88.0% | 72.8% | −15.2 |
| Sport | Champion | 17.8% | 7.0% | −10.9 |
