Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Paulista beat Brasiliense with a 23.4% chance and Portuguesa beat Sport with a 18.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 18 (before the first match) against those on November 25 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 80.7% | 0% | −80.6 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 40.7% | 100% | +59.3 |
| CRB | Relegation | 54.7% | 0% | −54.6 |
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 46.6% | 100% | +53.4 |
| Paysandu | Relegation | 82.5% | 100% | +17.5 |
| América-RN | Promotion | 86.6% | 100% | +13.4 |
| Paulista | Promotion | 13.4% | 0% | −13.4 |
| São Raimundo-AM | Relegation | 94.9% | 100% | +5.1 |
