Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Portuguesa beat Paulista with a 18.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 4 (before the first match) against those on November 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paulista | Promotion | 50.1% | 8.9% | −41.3 |
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 91.2% | 61.0% | −30.2 |
| Paysandu | Relegation | 22.5% | 40.0% | +17.5 |
| Coritiba | Promotion | 15.8% | 33.2% | +17.4 |
| Sport | Champion | 33.1% | 17.8% | −15.3 |
| Atletico-MG | Champion | 62.0% | 77.0% | +15.1 |
| América-RN | Promotion | 50.7% | 63.0% | +12.4 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 79.3% | 90.3% | +11.0 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 43.5% | 33.8% | −9.7 |
| CRB | Relegation | 60.3% | 66.9% | +6.7 |
