Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Vila Nova beat Ceará with a 21.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 31 (before the first match) against those on November 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 80.3% | 52.8% | −27.4 |
| Atletico-MG | Champion | 41.4% | 62.0% | +20.6 |
| Sport | Champion | 53.3% | 33.1% | −20.2 |
| Remo | Relegation | 27.9% | 10.8% | −17.1 |
| América-RN | Promotion | 65.9% | 50.7% | −15.2 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 65.9% | 79.3% | +13.4 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 13.7% | 27.0% | +13.4 |
| Paulista | Promotion | 36.9% | 50.1% | +13.2 |
| CRB | Relegation | 49.0% | 60.3% | +11.3 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 34.2% | 43.5% | +9.3 |
