Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: CRB beat Paysandu with a 20.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 18 (before the first match) against those on September 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CRB | Relegation | 31.2% | 16.3% | −14.8 |
| Paysandu | Promotion | 25.2% | 11.9% | −13.3 |
| Ituano | Relegation | 52.5% | 40.2% | −12.3 |
| Atletico-MG | Promotion | 64.0% | 76.0% | +12.1 |
| São Raimundo-AM | Relegation | 36.3% | 46.6% | +10.4 |
| Sport | Promotion | 71.5% | 61.2% | −10.3 |
| Sport | Champion | 25.6% | 15.8% | −9.8 |
| Remo | Relegation | 54.0% | 63.7% | +9.6 |
| Coritiba | Promotion | 40.1% | 30.6% | −9.5 |
| Paulista | Promotion | 34.4% | 43.6% | +9.2 |
