Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Vila Nova beat CRB with a 22.5% chance, Remo beat Guarani with a 19.6% chance, and Paulista beat Marília with a 23.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 15 (before the first match) against those on September 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo | Relegation | 72.3% | 54.0% | −18.3 |
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 34.8% | 18.3% | −16.4 |
| Paulista | Promotion | 19.7% | 34.4% | +14.7 |
| Atletico-MG | Promotion | 50.3% | 64.0% | +13.7 |
| Ituano | Relegation | 39.1% | 52.5% | +13.4 |
| CRB | Relegation | 20.0% | 31.2% | +11.2 |
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 75.4% | 86.3% | +11.0 |
| Sport | Promotion | 60.7% | 71.5% | +10.8 |
| América-RN | Promotion | 36.4% | 25.8% | −10.6 |
| Coritiba | Promotion | 50.2% | 40.1% | −10.1 |
