Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: América-RN beat Brasiliense with a 20.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 4 (before the first match) against those on September 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | Promotion | 32.0% | 45.9% | +13.9 |
| Marília | Promotion | 41.4% | 31.5% | −9.9 |
| Brasiliense | Promotion | 17.8% | 9.0% | −8.7 |
| América-RN | Promotion | 8.8% | 17.2% | +8.5 |
| Sport | Promotion | 63.1% | 56.1% | −7.0 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 74.2% | 67.7% | −6.6 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 9.5% | 3.2% | −6.3 |
| São Raimundo-AM | Relegation | 33.8% | 39.8% | +6.1 |
| Paysandu | Promotion | 14.3% | 20.2% | +6.0 |
| CRB | Promotion | 12.9% | 7.0% | −5.9 |
