Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Paysandu beat América-RN with a 24.4% chance and São Raimundo-AM beat Avaí with a 21.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 1 (before the first match) against those on September 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sport | Promotion | 46.1% | 63.1% | +17.0 |
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 43.3% | 58.5% | +15.2 |
| São Raimundo-AM | Relegation | 47.5% | 33.8% | −13.7 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 61.9% | 74.2% | +12.3 |
| Marília | Promotion | 30.4% | 41.4% | +11.0 |
| Coritiba | Champion | 37.7% | 28.7% | −9.0 |
| Gama | Relegation | 11.4% | 20.2% | +8.8 |
| Sport | Champion | 11.2% | 19.6% | +8.4 |
| Náutico | Champion | 19.0% | 27.4% | +8.4 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 19.3% | 11.2% | −8.1 |
