Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Gama beat Vila Nova with a 22.0% chance, América-RN beat Ituano with a 24.2% chance, and Ceará beat Paysandu with a 18.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 25 (before the first match) against those on September 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 30.1% | 43.3% | +13.2 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 80.0% | 67.4% | −12.6 |
| São Raimundo-AM | Relegation | 58.8% | 47.5% | −11.3 |
| Marília | Promotion | 41.3% | 30.4% | −10.9 |
| Ituano | Relegation | 27.4% | 38.0% | +10.6 |
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 50.3% | 60.6% | +10.3 |
| Gama | Relegation | 21.6% | 11.4% | −10.2 |
| Sport | Promotion | 36.5% | 46.1% | +9.6 |
| Atletico-MG | Promotion | 31.0% | 39.6% | +8.5 |
| Coritiba | Champion | 29.9% | 37.7% | +7.8 |
