Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, no draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Portuguesa beat Ceará with a 22.9% chance and CRB beat Ituano with a 24.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 12 (before the first match) against those on August 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 63.2% | 48.1% | −15.1 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 59.2% | 45.4% | −13.8 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 58.0% | 70.1% | +12.1 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 48.7% | 58.8% | +10.1 |
| Sport | Promotion | 37.9% | 27.9% | −10.0 |
| São Raimundo-AM | Relegation | 52.6% | 61.9% | +9.3 |
| Coritiba | Promotion | 60.6% | 51.9% | −8.7 |
| Ituano | Relegation | 17.2% | 25.5% | +8.3 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 22.1% | 14.0% | −8.1 |
| Náutico | Champion | 14.5% | 22.3% | +7.8 |
