Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 3 draws and no away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 14 (before the first match) against those on October 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | Promotion | 30.5% | 98.2% | +67.7 |
| Sport | Promotion | 27.9% | 86.3% | +58.4 |
| Atletico-MG | Champion | 6.5% | 63.7% | +57.2 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 45.4% | 1.4% | −44.0 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 70.1% | 29.6% | −40.5 |
| Remo | Relegation | 89.2% | 59.6% | −29.6 |
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 22.2% | 50.9% | +28.7 |
| Marília | Promotion | 30.4% | 2.1% | −28.3 |
| América-RN | Promotion | 9.1% | 36.8% | +27.6 |
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 48.1% | 74.6% | +26.5 |
