Round 16

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.

What the matchday changed

Chances on August 4 (before the first match) against those on August 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
NáuticoPromotion34.7%48.7%+14.0
PortuguesaRelegation50.1%63.2%+13.1
MaríliaPromotion35.7%23.8%−11.9
Vila NovaRelegation31.5%19.7%−11.8
PaulistaPromotion17.6%26.3%+8.7
PaysanduPromotion31.2%23.0%−8.2
BrasiliensePromotion23.4%15.1%−8.2
CRBRelegation17.3%9.4%−7.9
SportPromotion30.1%37.9%+7.8
GamaRelegation14.1%21.8%+7.7
Home 58.3%
Draw 22.1%
Away 19.7%
Home 48.6%
Draw 24.5%
Away 26.9%
Home 37.8%
Draw 27.5%
Away 34.7%
Home 45.5%
Draw 25.4%
Away 29.1%
Home 55.1%
Draw 22.9%
Away 22.1%
Home 55.3%
Draw 22.8%
Away 21.9%
Home 50.5%
Draw 24.0%
Away 25.4%
Home 50.2%
Draw 24.1%
Away 25.7%
Home 58.6%
Draw 22.0%
Away 19.4%
Home 47.1%
Draw 24.9%
Away 27.9%