Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 5 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Paulista beat Sport with a 22.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 29 (before the first match) against those on August 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coritiba | Promotion | 41.3% | 53.0% | +11.7 |
| Sport | Promotion | 40.1% | 30.1% | −10.0 |
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 40.0% | 31.5% | −8.5 |
| Paulista | Relegation | 18.3% | 10.0% | −8.3 |
| Paulista | Promotion | 10.2% | 17.6% | +7.4 |
| Coritiba | Champion | 11.8% | 18.8% | +7.0 |
| Gama | Relegation | 20.9% | 14.1% | −6.8 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 46.4% | 52.3% | +6.0 |
| Brasiliense | Promotion | 28.4% | 23.4% | −5.1 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 14.3% | 19.2% | +4.8 |
