Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Gama beat Brasiliense with a 16.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 21 (before the first match) against those on July 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brasiliense | Promotion | 44.4% | 28.4% | −16.0 |
| Gama | Relegation | 36.7% | 20.9% | −15.8 |
| Paysandu | Promotion | 24.3% | 35.3% | +11.0 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 42.2% | 52.0% | +9.7 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 22.3% | 14.3% | −8.0 |
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 32.6% | 40.0% | +7.4 |
| Ituano | Promotion | 23.5% | 16.1% | −7.3 |
| Remo | Relegation | 81.7% | 88.9% | +7.2 |
| Brasiliense | Champion | 13.0% | 6.8% | −6.3 |
| Avaí | Champion | 12.7% | 18.8% | +6.2 |
