Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Grêmio beat Coritiba with a 23.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 19 (before the first match) against those on October 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corinthians | Relegation | 38.3% | 56.1% | +17.9 |
| Grêmio | Relegation | 74.2% | 57.2% | −17.0 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 50.7% | 67.6% | +16.8 |
| Vasco | Sudamericana | 18.5% | 35.0% | +16.5 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 46.2% | 30.1% | −16.1 |
| Internacional | Relegation | 51.0% | 36.0% | −15.0 |
| Coritiba | Sudamericana | 33.4% | 19.5% | −13.8 |
| Fluminense | Sudamericana | 31.3% | 44.3% | +12.9 |
| Cruzeiro | Sudamericana | 29.3% | 16.5% | −12.9 |
| Mirassol | Relegation | 13.0% | 21.4% | +8.4 |
