Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Santos beat Fluminense with a 18.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 13 (before the first match) against those on October 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 24.5% | 50.7% | +26.2 |
| Cruzeiro | Sudamericana | 53.7% | 29.3% | −24.4 |
| Bahia | Sudamericana | 50.9% | 70.3% | +19.4 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 63.7% | 46.2% | −17.5 |
| Mirassol | Relegation | 30.1% | 13.0% | −17.0 |
| Fluminense | Sudamericana | 17.1% | 31.3% | +14.2 |
| Grêmio | Relegation | 60.5% | 74.2% | +13.6 |
| Atletico-MG | Sudamericana | 72.0% | 58.6% | −13.4 |
| Coritiba | Sudamericana | 44.8% | 33.4% | −11.5 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 74.6% | 63.6% | −11.0 |
