Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Cruzeiro beat Atletico-MG with a 24.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 26 (before the first match) against those on October 31 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 67.8% | 44.1% | −23.7 |
| Atletico-MG | Sudamericana | 62.3% | 85.1% | +22.8 |
| Grêmio | Relegation | 57.2% | 37.9% | −19.3 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 67.6% | 86.3% | +18.8 |
| Coritiba | Sudamericana | 19.5% | 38.1% | +18.6 |
| Palmeiras | Champion | 37.5% | 20.3% | −17.2 |
| Flamengo | Champion | 62.5% | 79.7% | +17.2 |
| Corinthians | Relegation | 56.1% | 39.8% | −16.3 |
| Fluminense | Sudamericana | 44.3% | 29.2% | −15.1 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 18.3% | 5.0% | −13.3 |
