Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Santos beat Vasco with a 24.2% chance and Cruzeiro beat Corinthians with a 24.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 9 (before the first match) against those on August 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos | Relegation | 55.3% | 33.9% | −21.3 |
| Flamengo | Champion | 31.8% | 48.1% | +16.3 |
| Palmeiras | Champion | 63.5% | 48.3% | −15.2 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 46.9% | 61.8% | +14.9 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 37.9% | 48.9% | +11.1 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 23.8% | 12.9% | −10.9 |
| Mirassol | Relegation | 34.1% | 44.4% | +10.3 |
| Vitória | Sudamericana | 23.9% | 33.8% | +10.0 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 14.5% | 23.9% | +9.5 |
| Fluminense | Sudamericana | 41.9% | 33.7% | −8.2 |
