Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Corinthians beat Red Bull Bragantino with a 22.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 31 (before the first match) against those on August 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 50.1% | 67.6% | +17.4 |
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 33.9% | 20.3% | −13.6 |
| Santos | Relegation | 42.4% | 55.3% | +12.8 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Libertadores | 24.1% | 12.8% | −11.3 |
| Palmeiras | Champion | 74.5% | 63.5% | −11.1 |
| Grêmio | Relegation | 28.5% | 17.7% | −10.8 |
| Flamengo | Champion | 22.3% | 31.8% | +9.5 |
| Grêmio | Sudamericana | 21.8% | 30.2% | +8.4 |
| Mirassol | Relegation | 27.2% | 34.1% | +6.9 |
| Coritiba | Sudamericana | 36.0% | 42.5% | +6.5 |
