Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Athletico-PR beat Botafogo with a 22.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 17 (before the first match) against those on August 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coritiba | Sudamericana | 44.6% | 59.8% | +15.2 |
| Flamengo | Champion | 48.1% | 34.7% | −13.4 |
| Palmeiras | Champion | 48.3% | 59.9% | +11.6 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 61.6% | 72.0% | +10.3 |
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 23.8% | 15.7% | −8.1 |
| Vitória | Sudamericana | 33.8% | 25.7% | −8.1 |
| Atletico-MG | Sudamericana | 56.4% | 63.3% | +6.9 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 10.1% | 3.3% | −6.8 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 18.3% | 12.5% | −5.8 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Sudamericana | 59.0% | 64.4% | +5.4 |
