Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Grêmio beat Flamengo with a 20.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 22 (before the first match) against those on November 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 6.2% | 100% | +93.8 |
| Fluminense | Sudamericana | 70.4% | 0% | −70.4 |
| Botafogo | Champion | 80.6% | 14.2% | −66.3 |
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 34.5% | 96.3% | +61.9 |
| Santos | Sudamericana | 12.8% | 68.2% | +55.4 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 38.9% | 93.8% | +54.9 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 6.8% | 61.5% | +54.7 |
| Palmeiras | Champion | 0.7% | 55.2% | +54.5 |
| Corinthians | Sudamericana | 26.1% | 80.2% | +54.1 |
| Grêmio | Sudamericana | 54.1% | 0.4% | −53.8 |
