Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Cruzeiro beat Atletico-MG with a 18.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 20 (before the first match) against those on October 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras | Sudamericana | 50.6% | 21.0% | −29.6 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 21.8% | 46.1% | +24.3 |
| Cruzeiro | Relegation | 39.1% | 16.1% | −23.0 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 37.8% | 17.0% | −20.8 |
| Cruzeiro | Sudamericana | 21.7% | 41.8% | +20.2 |
| Internacional | Sudamericana | 36.6% | 56.7% | +20.0 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 24.9% | 44.8% | +19.9 |
| Santos | Relegation | 31.0% | 50.6% | +19.6 |
| Vasco | Sudamericana | 33.9% | 15.6% | −18.3 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 66.1% | 83.7% | +17.6 |
