Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Coritiba beat Internacional with a 18.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 27 (before the first match) against those on November 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 11.2% | 100% | +88.9 |
| Botafogo | Champion | 87.3% | 14.9% | −72.4 |
| Fluminense | Sudamericana | 67.7% | 0% | −67.7 |
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 30.4% | 96.9% | +66.5 |
| Palmeiras | Champion | 2.5% | 57.2% | +54.7 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 66.2% | 11.9% | −54.4 |
| Cuiabá | Sudamericana | 51.0% | 99.1% | +48.1 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 16.2% | 62.9% | +46.7 |
| Vasco | Sudamericana | 5.1% | 51.7% | +46.7 |
| Santos | Sudamericana | 23.9% | 67.4% | +43.5 |
