Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, no draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Vasco beat Cuiabá with a 16.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 23 (before the first match) against those on June 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasco | Relegation | 86.6% | 54.3% | −32.4 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 48.3% | 22.1% | −26.1 |
| Palmeiras | Sudamericana | 27.8% | 47.2% | +19.4 |
| Cruzeiro | Relegation | 24.1% | 6.6% | −17.4 |
| Cruzeiro | Sudamericana | 31.6% | 48.5% | +16.9 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 27.0% | 10.3% | −16.8 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 29.7% | 13.5% | −16.2 |
| Cuiabá | Relegation | 24.7% | 36.8% | +12.2 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 34.7% | 46.5% | +11.9 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 20.0% | 31.7% | +11.7 |
