Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Coritiba beat Goiás with a 21.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 27 (before the first match) against those on July 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuiabá | Relegation | 36.8% | 12.8% | −24.1 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 90.6% | 66.7% | −23.9 |
| Cuiabá | Sudamericana | 21.2% | 43.7% | +22.5 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 31.7% | 15.3% | −16.5 |
| Fortaleza | Libertadores | 29.2% | 13.7% | −15.5 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 46.5% | 61.6% | +15.1 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 54.0% | 67.7% | +13.7 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Libertadores | 30.9% | 44.3% | +13.4 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 35.4% | 47.8% | +12.4 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 29.1% | 40.8% | +11.7 |
