Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Bahia beat Palmeiras with a 23.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 11 (before the first match) against those on June 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goiás | Relegation | 47.6% | 24.1% | −23.5 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 41.8% | 19.6% | −22.1 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 56.7% | 34.7% | −22.0 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 69.5% | 48.3% | −21.2 |
| América-MG | Relegation | 33.3% | 53.0% | +19.6 |
| Corinthians | Relegation | 37.1% | 18.2% | −18.8 |
| Botafogo | Champion | 34.9% | 52.8% | +17.9 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 11.6% | 27.0% | +15.4 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 31.2% | 45.7% | +14.5 |
| Palmeiras | Champion | 24.3% | 10.1% | −14.2 |
