Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Botafogo beat Internacional with a 24.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 16 (before the first match) against those on June 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 73.0% | 48.3% | −24.8 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 66.8% | 42.5% | −24.3 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 23.9% | 43.6% | +19.7 |
| Avaí | Libertadores | 33.0% | 15.8% | −17.2 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 59.5% | 76.2% | +16.6 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 12.8% | 28.5% | +15.7 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 35.1% | 50.7% | +15.6 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 13.0% | 28.0% | +14.9 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 27.9% | 13.7% | −14.2 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 23.8% | 9.9% | −13.9 |
