Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Botafogo beat São Paulo with a 22.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 13 (before the first match) against those on June 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo | Relegation | 45.5% | 19.2% | −26.4 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 36.6% | 14.6% | −22.0 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 46.3% | 27.9% | −18.4 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 13.1% | 28.6% | +15.5 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 51.5% | 66.8% | +15.3 |
| Avaí | Libertadores | 18.0% | 33.0% | +15.0 |
| Santos | Relegation | 22.4% | 7.9% | −14.5 |
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 58.9% | 73.0% | +14.2 |
| Juventude | Relegation | 49.1% | 62.7% | +13.7 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Libertadores | 17.7% | 31.4% | +13.7 |
