Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Cuiabá beat Corinthians with a 21.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 6 (before the first match) against those on June 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuiabá | Relegation | 58.1% | 28.4% | −29.6 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 53.3% | 30.2% | −23.1 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 66.9% | 47.6% | −19.3 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 35.3% | 16.4% | −18.8 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 26.3% | 45.0% | +18.8 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 34.5% | 53.2% | +18.7 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 13.3% | 31.7% | +18.5 |
| América-MG | Libertadores | 41.4% | 23.3% | −18.1 |
| Juventude | Relegation | 19.7% | 36.7% | +16.9 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 50.0% | 33.7% | −16.3 |
