Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 1 draw and 6 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Fluminense beat Flamengo with a 24.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 1 (before the first match) against those on July 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 46.4% | 21.4% | −25.0 |
| Fortaleza | Libertadores | 35.6% | 16.9% | −18.6 |
| Juventude | Libertadores | 30.4% | 11.9% | −18.5 |
| América-MG | Relegation | 26.1% | 10.9% | −15.1 |
| Fluminense | Relegation | 21.0% | 6.0% | −14.9 |
| Flamengo | Sudamericana | 28.2% | 42.7% | +14.5 |
| Sport | Relegation | 40.9% | 53.6% | +12.7 |
| Cuiabá | Relegation | 44.0% | 56.6% | +12.6 |
| Bahia | Libertadores | 9.3% | 21.2% | +11.9 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 23.8% | 35.5% | +11.8 |
