Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 4 (before the first match) against those on July 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo | Relegation | 60.9% | 30.4% | −30.5 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 70.5% | 47.7% | −22.9 |
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 10.5% | 26.6% | +16.2 |
| Fortaleza | Libertadores | 16.9% | 32.5% | +15.6 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 35.5% | 50.7% | +15.2 |
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 13.9% | 28.6% | +14.7 |
| Athletico-PR | Champion | 25.3% | 11.5% | −13.8 |
| Bahia | Libertadores | 21.2% | 34.9% | +13.7 |
| Internacional | Relegation | 19.6% | 32.9% | +13.3 |
| América-MG | Relegation | 10.9% | 22.8% | +11.8 |
