Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: América-MG beat Bahia with a 23.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 28 (before the first match) against those on July 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| América-MG | Relegation | 58.5% | 26.1% | −32.4 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Champion | 43.5% | 24.1% | −19.4 |
| América-MG | Sudamericana | 14.2% | 33.1% | +18.9 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 28.0% | 46.4% | +18.4 |
| Bahia | Libertadores | 24.1% | 9.3% | −14.7 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 45.5% | 60.1% | +14.6 |
| Fortaleza | Libertadores | 21.3% | 35.6% | +14.3 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Libertadores | 80.6% | 67.2% | −13.4 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 47.2% | 60.5% | +13.3 |
| Cuiabá | Relegation | 30.8% | 44.0% | +13.2 |
