Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 9 (before the first match) against those on July 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | Libertadores | 34.9% | 16.4% | −18.5 |
| São Paulo | Relegation | 30.4% | 12.7% | −17.6 |
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 26.6% | 42.7% | +16.0 |
| Fortaleza | Libertadores | 32.5% | 48.5% | +16.0 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 50.7% | 64.5% | +13.8 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 10.5% | 23.5% | +12.9 |
| Bahia | Sudamericana | 36.9% | 48.7% | +11.8 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 10.6% | 22.3% | +11.7 |
| América-MG | Relegation | 22.8% | 34.3% | +11.6 |
| Fortaleza | Sudamericana | 38.7% | 27.2% | −11.5 |
