Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 1 draw and 7 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Grêmio beat Fluminense with a 23.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 11 (before the first match) against those on July 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sport | Relegation | 62.6% | 34.4% | −28.2 |
| Grêmio | Relegation | 73.7% | 45.5% | −28.2 |
| América-MG | Relegation | 34.3% | 56.6% | +22.3 |
| Cuiabá | Relegation | 47.7% | 25.8% | −21.9 |
| Cuiabá | Sudamericana | 15.3% | 33.6% | +18.4 |
| Internacional | Sudamericana | 25.7% | 43.6% | +17.9 |
| Sport | Sudamericana | 9.0% | 26.8% | +17.8 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 39.2% | 21.5% | −17.6 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 23.5% | 41.0% | +17.6 |
| Internacional | Relegation | 31.2% | 14.0% | −17.1 |
