Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Avaí beat Athletico-PR with a 24.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 11 (before the first match) against those on September 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | Relegation | 54.9% | 32.0% | −22.9 |
| Vasco | Sudamericana | 29.2% | 48.7% | +19.5 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 35.2% | 52.6% | +17.5 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 87.7% | 70.9% | −16.8 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 66.5% | 83.1% | +16.7 |
| Cruzeiro | Relegation | 33.1% | 49.1% | +15.9 |
| Fluminense | Sudamericana | 10.3% | 25.5% | +15.2 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 25.3% | 10.5% | −14.8 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 38.2% | 23.5% | −14.7 |
| Internacional | Sudamericana | 36.8% | 22.3% | −14.5 |
