Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Fluminense beat Fortaleza with a 19.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 2 (before the first match) against those on September 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | Relegation | 76.3% | 45.5% | −30.8 |
| CSA | Relegation | 76.7% | 51.8% | −24.9 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 31.3% | 53.2% | +21.9 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 45.8% | 25.2% | −20.6 |
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 28.5% | 46.1% | +17.6 |
| Cruzeiro | Relegation | 17.6% | 33.8% | +16.2 |
| Palmeiras | Sudamericana | 39.3% | 23.7% | −15.5 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 54.2% | 39.8% | −14.5 |
| Cruzeiro | Sudamericana | 36.6% | 23.0% | −13.7 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 24.0% | 37.6% | +13.7 |
